I've always fallen on the conservative side when it comes to getting rid of coaches, as it's often not the coach's fault when he's fired. But here's a theory on why I feel Tom Coughlin will not be let go after next season (sorry, Bill Cowher) if things indeed fall apart in 2010. And it all hinges on the collective bargaining negotiations.
Assuming -- and there's no reason to think we're headed in any other direction than an uncapped year at this point -- there is a lockout in 2011, teams around the league are going to need to pick up where they left off in 2010, and the Giants are no different. It's the same reason Jerry Jones extended Wade Phillips through 2011. A lockout does not, and should not, presume an entirely lost season. If a deal is struck, say, halfway through the lost schedule, the league will probably try to salvage the remainder.
Imagine trying to do that under a new coach, a new system, a new staff? It would be virtually impossible. Better to stick with a coach and a philosophy that has been in place rather than have a new coach risk locker room confidence in a mish-mosh salvage of a six or seven-game segment.
For that reason, you probably won't see much coaching movement around the league as 2010 ends, for that very reason. It only makes sense.
Sound valid enough to you?